Methodological Note: Export Opportunity Index
The index is calculated by weighing four variables:
| Variable | Year | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Total value of Italian exports to the country | 2018 | Istat |
Average growth rate of Italian exports to the country | 2015-2022 | ISTAT and Oxford Economics projections |
Concentration of the country's imports | 2016 | United Nations |
Italian share of the country's imports | Latest available for the country | UN Comtrade |
Notes:
- The average growth rate of Italian exports considered is:
- up to 2022 for the markets where SACE has projections (63 countries, included in the Export Report);
- up to 2018 for the remaining countries;
- The variable in question is the Partner concentration of trade (import figure) of the United Nations;
- The score for Italy's share of the country's global imports is calculated emphasizing the intermediate market shares (between 2% and 4%), which indicate a strong Italian presence and the potential for increasing share.
In a few cases, regarding marginal countries, the score is further adjusted by a qualitative evaluation that reflects political and economic events.